Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction, UEFA Nations League
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
75.6%
xG
1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
BulgariaWLDLD
LuxembourgLLLWWMatch analysis
Model generatedBulgaria favoured at 48%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.55 goals for Bulgaria and 1.04 for Luxembourg, giving 48% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.55 - 1.04
- Clean sheet chance: Bulgaria 35%, Luxembourg 21%
Match result
1X2Bulgaria47.9%
Draw27.7%
Luxembourg24.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.1
Bulgaria
Average
4.9
Luxembourg
Average
BulgariaLast 10 gamesLuxembourg1.40Points per game1.20
1.8Goals scored per game0.8
1.3Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored10%
30%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Bulgaria
3
Draws
1
Luxembourg
- 6 Oct 26Luxembourg 0-2 Bulgaria
- 26 Sept 26Bulgaria 1-2 Luxembourg
- 15 Nov 24Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
- 12 Oct 24Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
- 20 Nov 22Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria