Germany vs Netherlands prediction, UEFA Nations League
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
74.4%
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →
GermanyDWLDD
NetherlandsWDWDDMatch analysis
Model generatedGermany favoured at 49%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.80 goals for Germany and 1.25 for Netherlands, giving 49% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.80 - 1.25
- Clean sheet chance: Germany 29%, Netherlands 17%
Match result
1X2Germany49.3%
Draw25.1%
Netherlands25.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Germany
Above average
6.1
Netherlands
Above average
GermanyLast 10 gamesNetherlands1.80Points per game1.90
2.0Goals scored per game2.0
0.8Goals conceded per game1.2
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored90%
30%Clean sheets0%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Germany
5
Draws
2
Netherlands
- 24 Sept 26Netherlands 1-1 Germany
- 14 Oct 24Germany 1-0 Netherlands
- 10 Sept 24Netherlands 2-2 Germany
- 26 Mar 24Germany 2-1 Netherlands
- 29 Mar 22Netherlands 1-1 Germany