Aston Villa vs Arsenal prediction, English Premier League
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
77.6%
xG
1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
Aston VillaWWLWD
ArsenalWLWWWMatch analysis
EnhancedArsenal favoured; Away or Draw looks strongest read
The model makes Arsenal favourites at 50%, with Away or Draw (X2) its strongest read at 78%, well above the 58% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 1.00 for Aston Villa and 1.60 for Arsenal, so the goals markets look close to even.
Match result
1X2Aston Villa22.4%
Draw27.3%
Arsenal50.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.8
Aston Villa
Above average
8.3
Arsenal
Strong
Aston VillaLast 10 gamesArsenal1.90Points per game2.50
1.9Goals scored per game1.8
1.5Goals conceded per game0.9
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2▲ |  Brighton and Hove Albion 2-0 | 6 | +13 | 13 |
| 3▼ | Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 |  Brentford 2-2 | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 5▲ |  Chelsea 5-1 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 6▼ |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 7▼ |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8▼ |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 9▲ |  Ipswich Town 2-1 | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 10▼ |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 11▼ |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14▲ | Aston Villa 2-2 | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16▼ |  Sunderland 0-2 | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth 1-5 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham 1-2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 4 games in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Aston Villa
1
Draws
6
Arsenal
- 31 Aug 26Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
- 30 Dec 25Arsenal 4-1 Aston Villa
- 6 Dec 25Aston Villa 2-1 Arsenal
- 18 Jan 25Arsenal 2-2 Aston Villa
- 24 Aug 24Aston Villa 0-2 Arsenal