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Burnley vs Bristol City prediction, English Championship

English Championship · Round 39Full time

Burnley

1-0

Sat, 29 Mar

Bristol City

Model's readTurf Moor
1 40%X 28%2 32%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.6%

xG

1.4 – 1.2

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →
BurnleyWDLDL
Bristol CityDWLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Burnley favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.43 goals for Burnley and 1.25 for Bristol City, giving 40% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.43 - 1.25
  • Clean sheet chance: Burnley 29%, Bristol City 24%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Burnley v Bristol City

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Burnley40.2%
Draw27.8%
Bristol City31.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
7.0

Burnley

Strong

5.5

Bristol City

Above average

BurnleyLast 10 gamesBristol City
0.80Points per game1.40
1.3Goals scored per game1.2
1.7Goals conceded per game1.4
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
80%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

BurnleyWDLDL
  • 10 OctAWatford4-0
  • 19 SeptHDerby County1-1
  • 12 SeptASwansea1-3
  • 8 SeptAWrexham1-1
  • 5 SeptHBristol City1-2
  • 2 SeptHMiddlesbrough1-1
Bristol CityDWLLW
  • 10 OctACharlton Athletic1-1
  • 18 SeptHWatford1-0
  • 15 SeptHLincoln City0-1
  • 12 SeptASouthampton1-4
  • 5 SeptABurnley2-1
  • 1 SeptAPreston North End3-1

English Championship

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Swansea8+717
2West Ham United8+1115
3Middlesbrough8+415
4Wolverhampton Wanderers7+514
5West Brom8+214
6Queens Park Rangers8+313
7Stoke8+113
8Bristol City8-113
9Charlton Athletic8-312
10Birmingham City8+111
11Millwall8011
12Lincoln City8-111
13Southampton8+910
14Wrexham8-310
15Bolton Wanderers8-410
16Blackburn Rovers809
17Norwich8-19
18Sheffield United8-29
19Portsmouth7-18
20Watford8-38
21Cardiff8-27
22Derby County8-75
23Preston North End8-74
24Burnley8-84
Top four Bottom three

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

8

Burnley

1

Draws

1

Bristol City

  • 5 Sept 26Burnley 1-2 Bristol City
  • 29 Mar 25Burnley 1-0 Bristol City
  • 23 Nov 24Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
  • 29 Apr 23Bristol City 1-2 Burnley
  • 17 Sept 22Burnley 2-1 Bristol City
Every meeting between these two →