Sporting CP vs Arouca prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 22Full time
Sporting CP
2-2
Arouca
Model's readEstádio José Alvalade
1 70%X 17%2 13%
Our pick
Home Win
69.8%
xG
2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →Sporting CPWDDWWAroucaDLDWLMatch analysis
EnhancedSporting CP favoured to win at home, 70% model
The model makes Sporting CP a 70% favourite to win at home, well above the 43% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 2.35 for Sporting and 0.90 for Arouca. Still, 70% leaves a 30% chance of not winning, so treat it as a lean, not a lock.
Match result
1X2Sporting CP69.8%
Draw17.3%
Arouca12.9%
Model rating
All ratings →9.0
Sporting CP
Elite
5.7
Arouca
Above average
Sporting CPLast 10 gamesArouca2.40Points per game1.80
2.6Goals scored per game1.8
1.0Goals conceded per game1.1
80%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets30%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Sporting CP
3
Draws
1
Arouca
- 19 Sept 26Sporting CP 2-2 Arouca
- 24 Jan 26Arouca 1-2 Sporting CP
- 17 Aug 25Sporting CP 6-0 Arouca
- 15 Feb 25Sporting CP 2-2 Arouca
- 13 Sept 24Arouca 0-3 Sporting CP