Paris Saint-Germain vs Manchester City prediction, UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League · Round 7Full time
Paris Saint-Germain
4-2
Manchester City
Model's readParc des Princes
1 69%X 17%2 14%
Our pick
Home Win
69.4%
xG
2.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
68%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →Paris Saint-GermainWWWWLManchester CityWWWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedParis Saint-Germain favoured at 69%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.49 goals for Paris Saint-Germain and 1.03 for Manchester City, giving 69% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 9%
- Expected goals: 2.49 - 1.03
- Clean sheet chance: Paris Saint-Germain 36%, Manchester City 8%
Match result
1X2Paris Saint-Germain69.4%
Draw16.9%
Manchester City13.8%
Paris Saint-GermainLast 10 gamesManchester City1.80Points per game2.50
2.1Goals scored per game2.3
1.2Goals conceded per game0.8
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
80%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 7 meetings2
Paris Saint-Germain
1
Draws
4
Manchester City
- 22 Jan 25Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 Manchester City
- 24 Nov 21Manchester City 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain
- 28 Sept 21Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Manchester City
- 4 May 21Manchester City 2-0 Paris Saint-Germain
- 28 Apr 21Paris Saint-Germain 1-2 Manchester City