AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 8Full time
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
Telstar
Model's readAFAS Stadion Alkmaar
1 63%X 22%2 15%
Our pick
Home Win
63.3%
xG
2.2 – 1.0
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →AZ AlkmaarLWLDWTelstarLDLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedAZ Alkmaar favoured at 63%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.18 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.99 for Telstar, giving 63% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.18 - 0.99
- Clean sheet chance: AZ Alkmaar 37%, Telstar 11%
Match result
1X2AZ Alkmaar63.3%
Draw21.9%
Telstar14.9%
Model rating
All ratings →7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
4.8
Telstar
Average
AZ AlkmaarLast 10 gamesTelstar2.00Points per game1.20
2.1Goals scored per game1.1
1.2Goals conceded per game1.4
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings3
AZ Alkmaar
0
Draws
0
Telstar
- 20 Sept 26AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar
- 25 Jan 26Telstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar
- 5 Oct 25AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar