Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
56%
The model makes Twente clear favourites at 65%, well above the 44% norm for this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Expected goals are 2.23 for Twente and 0.94 for Telstar. Draw and away win still carry 35% combined, so this is a lean, not a lock.
Twente
Strong
Telstar
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ | 8 | +20 | 20 | |
| 2 | 8 | +16 | 19 | |
| 3▼ | 8 | +10 | 19 | |
| 4 | 8 | +7 | 16 | |
| 5▲ | 8 | 0 | 16 | |
| 6▼ | 7 | +12 | 14 | |
| 7 | 7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -7 | 5 | |
| 13 | 7 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 | 7 | -9 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -13 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | -14 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -10 | 2 | |
| 18 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
1
Twente
2
Draws
0
Telstar