Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
62%
The model gives Telstar the edge at 40% to win, against 33% for Sparta Rotterdam and 27% for a draw, so this is close. Expected goals are 1.58 for Telstar and 1.44 for Sparta, which points to a fair number of goals, with over 2.5 at 58%. Treat these as probabilities, not certainties.
Telstar
Average
Sparta Rotterdam
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +12 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | +16 | 19 | |
| 3 | 7 | +18 | 17 | |
| 4 | 7 | +8 | 16 | |
| 5 | 7 | +12 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | -1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -7 | 5 | |
| 13 | 7 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 | 7 | -9 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -13 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | -14 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -10 | 2 | |
| 18 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
1
Telstar
0
Draws
2
Sparta Rotterdam