Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick Strong
Away or Draw (X2)
79.6%
xG
1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
TelstarLDLDL
AZ AlkmaarLWLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedAZ Alkmaar favoured at 55%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.13 goals for Telstar and 1.94 for AZ Alkmaar, giving 20% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 55% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.13 - 1.94
- Clean sheet chance: Telstar 14%, AZ Alkmaar 32%
Match result
1X2Telstar20.4%
Draw24.6%
AZ Alkmaar55.0%
Model rating
All ratings →4.8
Telstar
Average
7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
TelstarLast 10 gamesAZ Alkmaar1.20Points per game2.00
1.1Goals scored per game2.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.2
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings0
Telstar
0
Draws
3
AZ Alkmaar
- 20 Sept 26AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar
- 25 Jan 26Telstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar
- 5 Oct 25AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar