Wrexham vs Derby County Prediction — English Championship

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.4%

xG

1.5 – 1.2

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

WrexhamDWLDD

Derby CountyDDLLL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Wrexham favoured at 44%, but it's a close game

The model makes Wrexham the most likely winner at 44%, with Derby County at 29% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals are 1.49 for Wrexham and 1.17 for Derby, so the goals markets sit close to even, with over 2.5 at 50%. Treat this as a lean, not a sure thing.

Match result

1X2

Wrexham43.6%

Draw27.6%

Derby County28.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.1

Wrexham

Above average

5.0

Derby County

Average

WrexhamLast 10 games

Derby County

1.10Points per game0.60

1.0Goals scored per game0.9

1.4Goals conceded per game1.7

40%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

WrexhamDWLDD

Derby CountyDDLLL

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	+2	14
6	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
7	Stoke	8	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	-1	13
9	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
10	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	0	11
12	Lincoln City	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	-3	10
15	Bolton Wanderers	8	-4	10
16	Blackburn Rovers	8	0	9
17	Norwich	8	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	-1	8
20	Watford	8	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	-2	7
22	Derby County	8	-7	5
23	Preston North End	8	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	-8	4