Swansea vs Wrexham Prediction — English Championship

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

74.5%

xG

1.6 – 1.1

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

SwanseaWWWLD

WrexhamDWLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Swansea favoured at 47%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.57 goals for Swansea and 1.09 for Wrexham, giving 47% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.57 - 1.09
Clean sheet chance: Swansea 34%, Wrexham 21%

Match result

1X2

Swansea47.4%

Draw27.1%

Wrexham25.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.7

Swansea

Above average

6.1

Wrexham

Above average

SwanseaLast 10 games

Wrexham

2.00Points per game1.10

1.5Goals scored per game1.0

0.8Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

50%Both teams scored60%

40%Clean sheets20%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

SwanseaWWWLD

WrexhamDWLDD

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	+2	14
6▲	Southampton36′ 1-0	9	+10	13
7▼	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
8▼	Stoke	8	+1	13
9▼	Bristol City	8	-1	13
10▼	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
11▼	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
12▼	Millwall	8	0	11
13▼	Lincoln City	8	-1	11
14	Wrexham	8	-3	10
15	Bolton Wanderers	8	-4	10
16	Blackburn Rovers	8	0	9
17	Norwich	8	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	-2	9
19	Portsmouth36′ 0-1	8	-2	8
20	Watford	8	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	-2	7
22	Derby County	8	-7	5
23	Preston North End	8	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	-8	4