USA vs Mexico prediction, CONCACAF Gold Cup
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
72.5%
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →
USAWWWWL
MexicoLLDDLMatch analysis
EnhancedUSA narrow favourites over Mexico, 38% to 34%
USA are narrow favourites at 38%, with Mexico on 34% and a draw on 28%. Expected goals are 1.36 for USA and 1.29 for Mexico, so the model sees little between them. Goals markets sit close to even, with over 2.5 at 49%.
Match result
1X2USA37.7%
Draw28.1%
Mexico34.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
USA
Above average
5.3
Mexico
Average
USALast 10 gamesMexico2.10Points per game1.70
2.5Goals scored per game1.5
1.4Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
USA
2
Draws
5
Mexico
- 4 Oct 26USA 3-0 Mexico
- 6 Jul 25USA 1-2 Mexico
- 15 Oct 24Mexico 2-0 USA
- 19 Apr 23USA 1-1 Mexico
- 24 Mar 22Mexico 0-0 USA