Moreirense vs Casa Pia prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 7Full time
Moreirense
2-1
Casa Pia
Model's readEstádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
1 47%X 26%2 27%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
77.1%
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →MoreirenseLDWLLCasa PiaWLDLLMatch analysis
EnhancedUnder 3.5 goals is the model's strongest read
The model's clearest call is Under 3.5 goals at 77%, well above the 69% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 1.43 for Moreirense and 1.00 for Casa Pia, a total of 2.43. Moreirense are the modest favourites at 47% for a home win.
Match result
1X2Moreirense47.2%
Draw26.1%
Casa Pia26.6%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Moreirense
Average
3.8
Casa Pia
Weak
MoreirenseLast 10 gamesCasa Pia0.90Points per game0.90
0.8Goals scored per game0.6
1.7Goals conceded per game1.7
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets30%
50%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto50′ 1-1 | 8 | +15 | 22 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9▲ |  Marítimo50′ 1-1 | 8 | -4 | 9 |
| 10▼ |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11▼ |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 7 meetings4
Moreirense
1
Draws
2
Casa Pia
- 30 Aug 26Casa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
- 1 Mar 26Casa Pia 1-1 Moreirense
- 27 Sept 25Moreirense 2-1 Casa Pia
- 15 Feb 25Moreirense 3-2 Casa Pia
- 14 Sept 24Casa Pia 3-1 Moreirense