Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick Strong

Away Win

73.0%

xG

0.8 – 2.3

Over 2.5

60%

Both score

48%

Form

Full stats →

Casa PiaWLDLL

BenficaLWWWW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Benfica away win is the model's strongest call

The model makes Benfica the clear favourite at 73%, well above the 31% norm for away wins in this competition. Expected goals: 0.75 Casa Pia, 2.33 Benfica, with Benfica's attack facing a Casa Pia defence ranked 6th weakest. These are model estimates, not guarantees.

Match result

1X2

Casa Pia10.5%

Draw16.6%

Benfica73.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

3.8

Casa Pia

Weak

9.0

Benfica

Elite

Casa PiaLast 10 games

Benfica

0.90Points per game2.50

0.6Goals scored per game2.9

1.7Goals conceded per game0.8

30%Over 2.5 goals80%

30%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets40%

60%Failed to score0%

Recent results

Casa PiaWLDLL

BenficaLWWWW

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2