Arouca vs Estrela Amadora prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 30Full time
Arouca
1-0
Estrela Amadora
Model's readEstádio Municipal de Arouca
1 48%X 24%2 28%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.4%
xG
1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →AroucaDLDWLEstrela AmadoraLDWDWMatch analysis
EnhancedArouca favoured at 48%, with goals leaning over
The model gives Arouca a 48% chance of winning, against 24% for a draw and 28% for an Estrela Amadora win. It expects 1.68 goals for Arouca and 1.23 for Estrela Amadora, putting over 2.5 goals at 56%. Treat this as a lean, not a certainty.
Match result
1X2Arouca48.3%
Draw23.6%
Estrela Amadora28.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Arouca
Above average
4.6
Estrela Amadora
Average
AroucaLast 10 gamesEstrela Amadora1.80Points per game1.20
1.8Goals scored per game1.8
1.1Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals80%
60%Both teams scored80%
30%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14▲ |  Rio Ave77′ 3-2 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 15▼ |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 16▼ |  Nacional de Madeira77′ 2-3 | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 6 meetings3
Arouca
1
Draws
2
Estrela Amadora
- 19 Apr 26Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora
- 7 Dec 25Estrela Amadora 3-1 Arouca
- 19 Apr 25Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora
- 9 Dec 24Estrela Amadora 2-1 Arouca
- 5 May 24Arouca 0-0 Estrela Amadora