Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
48%
The model's top pick is Under 3.5 goals at 80%, well above the 72% norm in this competition. Mexico are slight favourites at 38%, with a draw at 30% and Colombia at 31%. Form and head-to-head add context, but the goals gap is the clearest signal.
Mexico
Average
Colombia
Above average
1
Mexico
2
Draws
7
Colombia