Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction, English EFL Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
68.4%
xG
1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →
ChelseaWLDWL
ArsenalWLWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedArsenal favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.31 goals for Chelsea and 1.56 for Arsenal, giving 32% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 43% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2921 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.31 - 1.56
- Clean sheet chance: Chelsea 21%, Arsenal 27%
Match result
1X2Chelsea31.6%
Draw25.9%
Arsenal42.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Chelsea
Above average
8.3
Arsenal
Strong
ChelseaLast 10 gamesArsenal1.90Points per game2.50
2.6Goals scored per game1.8
1.9Goals conceded per game0.9
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings0
Chelsea
3
Draws
7
Arsenal
- 6 Sept 26Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- 1 Mar 26Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- 3 Feb 26Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea
- 14 Jan 26Chelsea 2-3 Arsenal
- 30 Nov 25Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal