Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction, English EFL Cup
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
77.0%
xG
1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
ArsenalWLWWW
ChelseaWLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedArsenal favoured at 53%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.81 goals for Arsenal and 1.12 for Chelsea, giving 53% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2921 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.81 - 1.12
- Clean sheet chance: Arsenal 33%, Chelsea 16%
Match result
1X2Arsenal52.8%
Draw24.2%
Chelsea23.0%
Model rating
All ratings →8.3
Arsenal
Strong
5.7
Chelsea
Above average
ArsenalLast 10 gamesChelsea2.50Points per game1.90
1.8Goals scored per game2.6
0.9Goals conceded per game1.9
60%Over 2.5 goals90%
50%Both teams scored80%
40%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Arsenal
3
Draws
0
Chelsea
- 6 Sept 26Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- 1 Mar 26Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- 3 Feb 26Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea
- 14 Jan 26Chelsea 2-3 Arsenal
- 30 Nov 25Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal