Sweden vs Poland prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
72.4%
xG
1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →
SwedenWDWWL
PolandLWLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedSweden favoured at 47%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.77 goals for Sweden and 1.31 for Poland, giving 47% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.77 - 1.31
- Clean sheet chance: Sweden 27%, Poland 17%
Match result
1X2Sweden47.2%
Draw25.2%
Poland27.6%
Model rating
All ratings →6.6
Sweden
Above average
5.0
Poland
Average
SwedenLast 10 gamesPoland1.50Points per game1.20
1.7Goals scored per game1.7
1.8Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings8
Sweden
1
Draws
1
Poland
- 28 Sept 26Sweden 3-1 Poland
- 31 Mar 26Sweden 3-2 Poland
- 29 Mar 22Poland 2-0 Sweden
- 23 Jun 21Sweden 3-2 Poland
- 5 Jun 04Sweden 3-1 Poland