Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction, English FA Cup
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.9%
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →
ChelseaWLDWL
Leeds UnitedLDWLDMatch analysis
Model generatedChelsea favoured at 44%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.60 goals for Chelsea and 1.29 for Leeds United, giving 44% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2843 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.60 - 1.29
- Clean sheet chance: Chelsea 28%, Leeds United 20%
Match result
1X2Chelsea44.1%
Draw25.7%
Leeds United30.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Chelsea
Above average
5.8
Leeds United
Above average
ChelseaLast 10 gamesLeeds United1.90Points per game1.50
2.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.9Goals conceded per game1.4
90%Over 2.5 goals40%
80%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
ChelseaWLDWL
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Chelsea
2
Draws
2
Leeds United
- 9 Sept 26Chelsea 6-3 Leeds United
- 26 Apr 26Chelsea 1-0 Leeds United
- 10 Feb 26Chelsea 2-2 Leeds United
- 3 Dec 25Leeds United 3-1 Chelsea
- 4 Mar 23Chelsea 1-0 Leeds United