Burgos vs Ceuta prediction, Spanish La Liga 2
Spanish La Liga 2 · Round 5Full time
Burgos
3-1
Ceuta
Model's readEstadio Municipal de El Plantío
1 52%X 26%2 21%
Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
79.3%
xG
1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5
41%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →BurgosLWWWDCeutaLDWDLMatch analysis
EnhancedBurgos favoured; Under 3.5 goals is the strongest read
The model gives Burgos a 52% chance of a home win, against 21% for Ceuta, with expected goals of 1.49 and 0.85. The strongest read is Under 3.5 goals at 79%, well above the 72% norm in this competition. Treat these as probabilities, not certainties.
Match result
1X2Burgos52.3%
Draw26.3%
Ceuta21.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.7
Burgos
Above average
4.8
Ceuta
Average
BurgosLast 9 gamesCeuta1.75Points per game0.56
1.5Goals scored per game0.9
1.1Goals conceded per game2.2
63%Over 2.5 goals56%
63%Both teams scored67%
25%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score33%
Recent results
Spanish La Liga 2
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eibar | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 8 | +12 | 20 |
| 3 |  Almeria | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Sabadell | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 |  Girona | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 | Burgos | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Sporting de Gijón | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 |  Granada | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Oviedo | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Celta Fortuna | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Las Palmas | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 8 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 8 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 |  Córdoba | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad B | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Cadiz | 8 | +1 | 7 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 21 | Ceuta | 9 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 8 | -10 | 1 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings1
Burgos
1
Draws
1
Ceuta
- 11 Sept 26Burgos 3-1 Ceuta
- 1 Apr 26Burgos 1-1 Ceuta
- 29 Nov 25Ceuta 1-0 Burgos