Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
49%
The model makes Almeria the most likely winner at 49%, with a draw at 26% and Burgos at 25%. Expected goals are 1.51 for Almeria and 0.99 for Burgos. Over 2.5 goals sits at 46%, so the goals markets offer little clear edge.
Almeria
Strong
Burgos
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +11 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | +12 | 20 | |
| 3 | 8 | +8 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | +6 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | +5 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | -2 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | 11 | |
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | -5 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | -2 | 8 | |
| 17 | 8 | -2 | 8 | |
| 18 | 8 | -4 | 8 | |
| 19 | 8 | +1 | 7 | |
| 20 | 8 | -3 | 7 | |
| 21 | 8 | -11 | 5 | |
| 22 | 8 | -10 | 1 |
4
Almeria
1
Draws
2
Burgos