Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
60%
USA are the model's pick at 49%, with a draw at 25% and Mexico at 26%. Expected goals are 1.79 for USA and 1.24 for Mexico, putting over 2.5 at 58%. Mexico have taken 0.8 points a game over their last 6, against 2.0 across the sample.
USA
Above average
Mexico
Average
3
USA
2
Draws
5
Mexico