Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction, English Premier League
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
76.0%
xG
1.1 – 1.6
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →
ChelseaWLDWL
ArsenalWLWWWMatch analysis
EnhancedAway or Draw is the model's strongest read
The model's strongest pick is Away or Draw at 76%, against a 58% norm for this competition. Arsenal are rated 1st of 27 sides, while Chelsea's attack ranks 22nd weakest. Expected goals are 1.09 for Chelsea and 1.65 for Arsenal.
Match result
1X2Chelsea24.0%
Draw26.8%
Arsenal49.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Chelsea
Above average
8.3
Arsenal
Strong
ChelseaLast 10 gamesArsenal1.90Points per game2.50
2.6Goals scored per game1.8
1.9Goals conceded per game0.9
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings0
Chelsea
3
Draws
7
Arsenal
- 6 Sept 26Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- 1 Mar 26Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- 3 Feb 26Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea
- 14 Jan 26Chelsea 2-3 Arsenal
- 30 Nov 25Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal