Manchester United vs Manchester City prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 16Full time
Manchester United
1-2
Manchester City
Model's read
1 33%X 26%2 41%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
67.2%
xG
1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →Manchester UnitedDDLLWManchester CityWWWWWMatch analysis
EnhancedModel's strongest read: Away or Draw (X2) at 67%
The model's strongest selection is Away or Draw, at 67% against a 58% norm for this competition. Manchester City are the single most likely result at 41%, with United's 33% home win less likely. Expected goals are 1.43 and 1.62, so over 2.5 sits at 59%.
Match result
1X2Manchester United32.8%
Draw26.1%
Manchester City41.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.5
Manchester United
Above average
8.5
Manchester City
Elite
Manchester UnitedLast 10 gamesManchester City1.50Points per game2.50
2.1Goals scored per game2.5
1.4Goals conceded per game0.8
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Manchester UnitedDDLLW
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 6 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds United | 6 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Aston Villa | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Sunderland | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | -4 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.