Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction, English Premier League
Our pick
Home Win
59.3%
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
ArsenalWLWWW
ChelseaWLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedArsenal favoured at 59%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.91 goals for Arsenal and 0.93 for Chelsea, giving 59% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.91 - 0.93
- Clean sheet chance: Arsenal 40%, Chelsea 15%
Match result
1X2Arsenal59.3%
Draw24.0%
Chelsea16.7%
Model rating
All ratings →8.3
Arsenal
Strong
5.7
Chelsea
Above average
ArsenalLast 10 gamesChelsea2.50Points per game1.90
1.8Goals scored per game2.6
0.9Goals conceded per game1.9
60%Over 2.5 goals90%
50%Both teams scored80%
40%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Arsenal
3
Draws
0
Chelsea
- 6 Sept 26Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- 1 Mar 26Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- 3 Feb 26Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea
- 14 Jan 26Chelsea 2-3 Arsenal
- 30 Nov 25Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal