Netherlands vs Germany prediction, UEFA Nations League
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
73.9%
xG
1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →
NetherlandsWDWDD
GermanyDWLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedNetherlands favoured at 41%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.60 goals for Netherlands and 1.41 for Germany, giving 41% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.60 - 1.41
- Clean sheet chance: Netherlands 24%, Germany 20%
Match result
1X2Netherlands41.0%
Draw26.1%
Germany32.8%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Netherlands
Above average
5.6
Germany
Above average
NetherlandsLast 10 gamesGermany1.90Points per game1.80
2.0Goals scored per game2.0
1.2Goals conceded per game0.8
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
90%Both teams scored60%
0%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Netherlands
5
Draws
3
Germany
- 24 Sept 26Netherlands 1-1 Germany
- 14 Oct 24Germany 1-0 Netherlands
- 10 Sept 24Netherlands 2-2 Germany
- 26 Mar 24Germany 2-1 Netherlands
- 29 Mar 22Netherlands 1-1 Germany