Madagascar vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.2%
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
MadagascarLDWWL
Equatorial GuineaLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMadagascar favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.29 goals for Madagascar and 1.09 for Equatorial Guinea, giving 40% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.29 - 1.09
- Clean sheet chance: Madagascar 34%, Equatorial Guinea 27%
Match result
1X2Madagascar40.3%
Draw29.2%
Equatorial Guinea30.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Madagascar
Above average
5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
MadagascarLast 10 gamesEquatorial Guinea1.60Points per game1.10
1.7Goals scored per game0.7
1.9Goals conceded per game1.1
70%Over 2.5 goals20%
60%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings4
Madagascar
1
Draws
1
Equatorial Guinea
- 31 Mar 26Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Madagascar
- 17 Nov 25Madagascar 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 16 Oct 18Madagascar 1-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 13 Oct 18Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Madagascar
- 15 Nov 11Madagascar 2-1 Equatorial Guinea