Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
69.5%
xG
1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
Equatorial GuineaLDWWL
MadagascarLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMadagascar favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.09 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 1.29 for Madagascar, giving 31% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.09 - 1.29
- Clean sheet chance: Equatorial Guinea 27%, Madagascar 34%
Match result
1X2Equatorial Guinea30.5%
Draw29.2%
Madagascar40.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
5.6
Madagascar
Above average
Equatorial GuineaLast 10 gamesMadagascar1.10Points per game1.60
0.7Goals scored per game1.7
1.1Goals conceded per game1.9
20%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings1
Equatorial Guinea
1
Draws
4
Madagascar
- 31 Mar 26Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Madagascar
- 17 Nov 25Madagascar 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 16 Oct 18Madagascar 1-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 13 Oct 18Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Madagascar
- 15 Nov 11Madagascar 2-1 Equatorial Guinea