Our pick
Away Win
xG
0.9 – 1.8
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
50%
The model projects 0.90 goals for Kenya and 1.82 for Senegal, giving 18% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 58% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Kenya
Above average
Senegal
Above average
0
Kenya
1
Draws
5
Senegal