Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Home Win

60.0%

xG

1.9 – 0.9

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →

ArsenalWLWWW

Aston VillaWWLWD

Match analysis

Enhanced

Arsenal favoured at 60%; goals markets look close to even

The model makes Arsenal favourites at 60%, well above the 42% norm for this competition, so that gap is the strongest read. Expected goals are 1.85 for Arsenal and 0.85 for Aston Villa. Goals markets sit near 50-50, so they offer little edge.

Match result

1X2

Arsenal60.0%

Draw24.3%

Aston Villa15.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.3

Arsenal

Strong

5.8

Aston Villa

Above average

ArsenalLast 10 games

Aston Villa

2.50Points per game1.90

1.8Goals scored per game1.9

0.9Goals conceded per game1.5

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

50%Both teams scored60%

40%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

ArsenalWLWWW

Aston VillaWWLWD

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2▲	Brighton and Hove Albion 1-0	6	+12	13
3▼	Arsenal	5	+4	12
4	Brentford89′ 2-2	6	+6	10
5▲	Chelsea 5-1	6	+2	10
6▼	Leeds United	5	+4	9
7▼	Liverpool	5	+3	9
8▼	Everton	5	+3	9
9▲	Ipswich Town 2-1	6	-3	9
10▼	Hull City	5	+2	8
11▼	Newcastle United	5	0	8
12	Manchester United	5	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14▲	Aston Villa89′ 2-2	6	-5	5
15▼	Sunderland 0-1	6	-5	4
16▼	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
17	Bournemouth 1-5	6	-6	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham 1-2	6	-4	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2