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Bournemouth vs Chelsea prediction, English Premier League

English Premier League · Round 28Full time

Bournemouth

2-2

Sat, 29 Feb

Chelsea

Model's readVitality Stadium
1 45%X 26%2 29%

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

74.3%

xG

1.7 – 1.3

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

62%

Form

Full stats →
BournemouthLWDWD
ChelseaLDWLW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Bournemouth favoured at 45%, with goals likely

The model gives Bournemouth a 45% chance to win, Chelsea 29%, and a draw 26%. Expected goals are 1.72 for Bournemouth and 1.35 for Chelsea, so over 2.5 goals sits at 59%. Treat it as a lean, not a sure thing.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Bournemouth v Chelsea

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Bournemouth45.3%
Draw25.7%
Chelsea29.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.0

Bournemouth

Above average

5.7

Chelsea

Above average

BournemouthLast 10 gamesChelsea
1.40Points per game1.60
1.5Goals scored per game2.1
1.1Goals conceded per game1.9
50%Over 2.5 goals80%
70%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

BournemouthLWDWD
  • 20 SeptHLiverpool0-1
  • 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
  • 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
  • 8 SeptHLincoln City4-0
  • 5 SeptANewcastle United2-2
  • 29 AugHEverton1-1
ChelseaLDWLW
  • 18 SeptABrentford0-3
  • 12 SeptHHull City2-2
  • 9 SeptHLeeds United6-3
  • 6 SeptAArsenal1-2
  • 30 AugHBrighton and Hove Albion4-3
  • 27 AugHLuton2-0

English Premier League

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2▲Brighton and Hove Albion 1-06+1213
3▼Arsenal5+412
4Brentford90′ 2-26+610
5▲Chelsea 5-16+210
6▼Leeds United5+49
7▼Liverpool5+39
8▼Everton5+39
9▲Ipswich Town 2-16-39
10▼Hull City5+28
11▼Newcastle United508
12Manchester United505
13Nottingham Forest5-15
14▲Aston Villa90′ 2-26-55
15▼Sunderland 0-16-54
16▼Crystal Palace5-54
17Bournemouth 1-56-63
18Coventry City5-93
19Fulham 1-26-42
20Tottenham Hotspur5-62
Top four Bottom three Moving with 4 games in play

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

1

Bournemouth

5

Draws

4

Chelsea

  • 30 Dec 25Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
  • 6 Dec 25Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
  • 14 Jan 25Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
  • 14 Sept 24Bournemouth 0-1 Chelsea
  • 19 May 24Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth
Every meeting between these two →