Chelsea vs Luton Prediction — English EFL Cup

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

73.1%

xG

1.8 – 1.3

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →

ChelseaLDWLW

LutonLLDWL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Chelsea favoured at 49%, with goals likely

The model makes Chelsea the most likely winner at 49%, with Luton at 27% and a draw at 24%. It expects 1.77 goals for Chelsea and 1.27 for Luton, so over 2.5 goals sits at 58%. Treat these as probabilities, not certainties.

Match result

1X2

Chelsea48.7%

Draw24.4%

Luton26.9%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.7

Chelsea

Above average

6.0

Luton

Above average

ChelseaLast 10 games

Luton

1.60Points per game1.20

2.1Goals scored per game1.7

1.9Goals conceded per game1.8

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored60%

10%Clean sheets20%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

ChelseaLDWLW

LutonLLDWL

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

3

Chelsea

0

Draws

0

Luton

27 Aug 26Chelsea 2-0 Luton
30 Dec 23Luton 2-3 Chelsea
25 Aug 23Chelsea 3-0 Luton

Every meeting between these two →

Chelsea vs Luton prediction, English EFL Cup

Form

Match analysis

Chelsea favoured at 49%, with goals likely

Match result

Model rating

Recent results

Head to head

Chelsea vs Luton prediction, English EFL Cup

Form

Match analysis

Chelsea favoured at 49%, with goals likely

Match result

Model rating

Recent results

Head to head