Mexico vs South Korea prediction, CONCACAF Gold Cup
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
63.1%
xG
1.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
South KoreaWDLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 42%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.24 goals for Mexico and 0.94 for South Korea, giving 42% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.24 - 0.94
- Clean sheet chance: Mexico 39%, South Korea 29%
Match result
1X2Mexico42.1%
Draw31.0%
South Korea26.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
5.8
South Korea
Above average
MexicoLast 10 gamesSouth Korea1.70Points per game1.60
1.5Goals scored per game1.4
1.0Goals conceded per game0.8
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored20%
50%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings5
Mexico
2
Draws
1
South Korea
- 18 Jun 26Mexico 1-0 South Korea
- 9 Sept 25Mexico 2-2 South Korea
- 14 Nov 20Mexico 3-2 South Korea
- 23 Jun 18South Korea 1-2 Mexico
- 29 Jan 14Mexico 4-0 South Korea