Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.4 – 1.9
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
64%
The model projects 1.37 goals for Sweden and 1.85 for France, giving 28% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 48% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Sweden
Above average
France
Above average
2
Sweden
2
Draws
6
France