Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
The model makes Slovenia the most likely winner at 45%, with Croatia on 28% and a draw at 27%. Expected goals are 1.58 for Slovenia and 1.19 for Croatia. Over 2.5 goals sits at 52%, so the goals markets are close to even.
Slovenia
Above average
Croatia
Average
1
Slovenia
4
Draws
5
Croatia