Kenya vs Lesotho prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
76.2%
xG
1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →
KenyaDWDWD
LesothoLDLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedKenya favoured at 57%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.80 goals for Kenya and 0.92 for Lesotho, giving 57% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.80 - 0.92
- Clean sheet chance: Kenya 40%, Lesotho 17%
Match result
1X2Kenya57.4%
Draw24.2%
Lesotho18.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Kenya
Above average
5.0
Lesotho
Average
KenyaLast 10 gamesLesotho1.20Points per game0.60
1.0Goals scored per game0.4
2.2Goals conceded per game1.9
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
20%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 7 meetings2
Kenya
4
Draws
1
Lesotho
- 7 Jun 26Kenya 4-0 Lesotho
- 4 Jun 26Lesotho 1-1 Kenya
- 3 Aug 14Kenya 0-0 Lesotho
- 20 Jul 14Lesotho 1-0 Kenya
- 1 Oct 00Kenya 1-1 Lesotho