Italy vs Greece prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
78.5%
xG
1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
ItalyWDWLW
GreeceDDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedItaly favoured at 52%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.65 goals for Italy and 0.99 for Greece, giving 52% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.65 - 0.99
- Clean sheet chance: Italy 37%, Greece 19%
Match result
1X2Italy51.9%
Draw26.6%
Greece21.5%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Italy
Above average
6.5
Greece
Above average
ItalyLast 10 gamesGreece2.00Points per game1.40
1.6Goals scored per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded per game0.9
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 5 meetings3
Italy
2
Draws
0
Greece
- 7 Jun 26Greece 0-1 Italy
- 12 Oct 19Italy 2-0 Greece
- 8 Jun 19Greece 0-3 Italy
- 19 Nov 08Greece 1-1 Italy
- 30 May 90Italy 0-0 Greece