Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
63%
The model gives Croatia a 51% chance to win, with a 24% draw and 25% away win. Expected goals are 1.91 for Croatia and 1.30 for Czech Republic, putting over 2.5 at 62%. Czech Republic have lost all six recent games, though recency weighting already prices part of that in.
Croatia
Average
Czech Republic
Average
3
Croatia
3
Draws
0
Czech Republic