Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
57%
The model favours Croatia at home, with a 43% chance of a win against 30% for Slovenia and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.52 for Croatia and 1.24 for Slovenia. Croatia's recent form is weaker than their season, so the edge is modest.
Croatia
Average
Slovenia
Above average
5
Croatia
4
Draws
1
Slovenia