Peru vs Mexico prediction, Copa America
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
77.9%
xG
0.8 – 1.4
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
PeruLLDLL
MexicoLLDDLMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 48%, in a tight game
The model projects 0.84 goals for Peru and 1.35 for Mexico, giving 22% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 48% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.84 - 1.35
- Clean sheet chance: Peru 26%, Mexico 43%
Match result
1X2Peru22.1%
Draw29.9%
Mexico47.9%
Model rating
All ratings →4.8
Peru
Average
5.3
Mexico
Average
PeruLast 10 gamesMexico0.80Points per game1.70
1.0Goals scored per game1.5
1.9Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored30%
10%Clean sheets50%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Peru
4
Draws
3
Mexico
- 30 Sept 26Mexico 1-1 Peru
- 24 Sept 22Mexico 1-0 Peru
- 3 Jun 15Peru 1-1 Mexico
- 17 Apr 13Mexico 0-0 Peru
- 8 Jul 11Peru 1-0 Mexico