Lesotho vs Kenya prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
65.6%
xG
1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
LesothoLDLDW
KenyaDWDWDMatch analysis
Model generatedKenya favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.27 goals for Lesotho and 1.34 for Kenya, giving 34% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.27 - 1.34
- Clean sheet chance: Lesotho 26%, Kenya 28%
Match result
1X2Lesotho34.4%
Draw27.8%
Kenya37.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Lesotho
Average
5.7
Kenya
Above average
LesothoLast 10 gamesKenya0.60Points per game1.20
0.4Goals scored per game1.0
1.9Goals conceded per game2.2
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored20%
20%Clean sheets40%
60%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 7 meetings1
Lesotho
4
Draws
2
Kenya
- 7 Jun 26Kenya 4-0 Lesotho
- 4 Jun 26Lesotho 1-1 Kenya
- 3 Aug 14Kenya 0-0 Lesotho
- 20 Jul 14Lesotho 1-0 Kenya
- 1 Oct 00Kenya 1-1 Lesotho