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Kenya vs Lesotho prediction, International Friendlies

International FriendliesFull time

Kenya

1-1

Sun, 1 Oct

Lesotho

Model's readNairobi
1 54%X 26%2 21%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.4%

xG

1.7 – 1.0

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
KenyaDWDWD
LesothoLDLDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Kenya favoured at 54%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.73 goals for Kenya and 0.99 for Lesotho, giving 54% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.73 - 0.99
  • Clean sheet chance: Kenya 37%, Lesotho 18%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Kenya v Lesotho

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Kenya53.8%
Draw25.6%
Lesotho20.6%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Kenya

Above average

5.0

Lesotho

Average

KenyaLast 10 gamesLesotho
1.20Points per game0.60
1.0Goals scored per game0.4
2.2Goals conceded per game1.9
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
20%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score60%

Recent results

KenyaDWDWD
  • 5 OctARwanda0-0
  • 7 JunHLesotho4-0
  • 4 JunALesotho1-1
  • 30 MarAGrenada3-0
  • 27 MarHEstonia1-1
  • 18 NovASenegal0-8
LesothoLDLDW
  • 7 JunAKenya0-4
  • 4 JunHKenya1-1
  • 18 NovHMalawi0-1
  • 15 NovHMalawi0-0
  • 13 OctHZimbabwe1-0
  • 10 OctHNigeria1-2

Head to head

Last 7 meetings

2

Kenya

4

Draws

1

Lesotho

  • 7 Jun 26Kenya 4-0 Lesotho
  • 4 Jun 26Lesotho 1-1 Kenya
  • 3 Aug 14Kenya 0-0 Lesotho
  • 20 Jul 14Lesotho 1-0 Kenya
  • 1 Oct 00Kenya 1-1 Lesotho
Every meeting between these two →