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Azerbaijan vs Malta prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying

UEFA European Championship QualifyingFull time

Azerbaijan

2-0

Sat, 28 Mar

Malta

Model's readBaku
1 42%X 29%2 29%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

76.9%

xG

1.4 – 1.1

Over 2.5

44%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →
AzerbaijanWDDWW
MaltaWDWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Azerbaijan favoured at 42%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.36 goals for Azerbaijan and 1.09 for Malta, giving 42% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.36 - 1.09
  • Clean sheet chance: Azerbaijan 34%, Malta 26%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Azerbaijan v Malta

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Azerbaijan41.8%
Draw29.4%
Malta28.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.9

Azerbaijan

Average

5.4

Malta

Average

AzerbaijanLast 10 gamesMalta
1.50Points per game1.60
1.3Goals scored per game1.2
1.1Goals conceded per game1.2
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score20%

Recent results

AzerbaijanWDDWW
  • 4 OctHLithuania1-0
  • 1 OctHLiechtenstein0-0
  • 27 SeptALithuania1-1
  • 23 SeptHTajikistan1-0
  • 9 JunHSan Marino2-1
  • 5 JunHMalta0-2
MaltaWDWWW
  • 4 OctHAndorra1-0
  • 1 OctHGibraltar1-1
  • 27 SeptHLiechtenstein2-0
  • 24 SeptAAndorra2-1
  • 5 JunAAzerbaijan2-0
  • 1 JunASlovakia1-2

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

2

Azerbaijan

3

Draws

4

Malta

  • 5 Jun 26Azerbaijan 0-2 Malta
  • 25 Mar 22Malta 1-0 Azerbaijan
  • 14 Oct 18Azerbaijan 1-1 Malta
  • 10 Sept 18Malta 1-1 Azerbaijan
  • 6 Sept 15Malta 2-2 Azerbaijan
Every meeting between these two →