Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
50%
The model projects 1.36 goals for Azerbaijan and 1.09 for Malta, giving 42% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Azerbaijan
Average
Malta
Average
2
Azerbaijan
3
Draws
4
Malta