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Uruguay vs Spain prediction, FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup · Matchday 1Full time

Uruguay

0-0

Wed, 13 Jun

Spain

Model's readUdine
1 21%X 27%2 52%

Our pick ★ Strong

Away or Draw (X2)

78.6%

xG

1.0 – 1.6

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →
UruguayWWLLD
SpainWWWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Spain favoured at 52%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.97 goals for Uruguay and 1.63 for Spain, giving 21% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 52% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 0.97 - 1.63
  • Clean sheet chance: Uruguay 20%, Spain 38%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Uruguay v Spain

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Uruguay21.4%
Draw26.6%
Spain52.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.3

Uruguay

Above average

6.8

Spain

Above average

UruguayLast 10 gamesSpain
1.10Points per game3.00
1.6Goals scored per game2.2
1.5Goals conceded per game0.6
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets50%
30%Failed to score0%

Recent results

UruguayWWLLD
  • 6 OctAIndia6-1
  • 28 SeptASouth Korea4-1
  • 24 SeptAJapan1-3
  • 26 JunHSpain0-1
  • 21 JunHCape Verde2-2
  • 15 JunASaudi Arabia1-1
SpainWWWWW
  • 6 OctACroatia2-1
  • 3 OctHCzech Republic3-1
  • 29 SeptHCroatia4-1
  • 26 SeptAEngland3-2
  • 19 JulHArgentina1-0
  • 14 JulAFrance2-0

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

0

Uruguay

2

Draws

4

Spain

  • 26 Jun 26Uruguay 0-1 Spain
  • 6 Feb 13Spain 3-1 Uruguay
  • 17 Aug 05Spain 2-0 Uruguay
  • 18 Jan 95Spain 2-2 Uruguay
  • 4 Sept 91Spain 2-1 Uruguay
Every meeting between these two →