Mexico vs Peru prediction, Copa America
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
77.9%
xG
1.4 – 0.8
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
PeruLLDLLMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 48%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.35 goals for Mexico and 0.84 for Peru, giving 48% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.35 - 0.84
- Clean sheet chance: Mexico 43%, Peru 26%
Match result
1X2Mexico47.9%
Draw29.9%
Peru22.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
4.8
Peru
Average
MexicoLast 10 gamesPeru1.70Points per game0.80
1.5Goals scored per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Peru
- 30 Sept 26Mexico 1-1 Peru
- 24 Sept 22Mexico 1-0 Peru
- 3 Jun 15Peru 1-1 Mexico
- 17 Apr 13Mexico 0-0 Peru
- 8 Jul 11Peru 1-0 Mexico