Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
The model makes Croatia the likelier winner, at 43% against 29% for Slovenia and 27% for a draw. It projects 1.53 goals for Croatia and 1.22 for Slovenia. Over 2.5 goals sits at 52%, which is close enough to even that the goals markets offer little clear edge.
Croatia
Average
Slovenia
Above average
5
Croatia
4
Draws
1
Slovenia