Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
53%
The model projects 2.20 goals for England and 0.88 for Czech Republic, giving 67% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
England
Above average
Czech Republic
Average
6
England
1
Draws
1
Czech Republic