Greece vs Italy prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
65.2%
xG
1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
GreeceDDWWL
ItalyWDWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedItaly favoured at 36%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.27 goals for Greece and 1.30 for Italy, giving 35% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.27 - 1.30
- Clean sheet chance: Greece 27%, Italy 28%
Match result
1X2Greece34.8%
Draw28.8%
Italy36.3%
Model rating
All ratings →6.5
Greece
Above average
6.1
Italy
Above average
GreeceLast 10 gamesItaly1.40Points per game2.00
1.0Goals scored per game1.6
0.9Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets40%
50%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 5 meetings0
Greece
2
Draws
3
Italy
- 7 Jun 26Greece 0-1 Italy
- 12 Oct 19Italy 2-0 Greece
- 8 Jun 19Greece 0-3 Italy
- 19 Nov 08Greece 1-1 Italy
- 30 May 90Italy 0-0 Greece